Australian futurist Ross Dawson is predicting the end of the world as we know it — setting a doomsday clock running on the life of newspapers in their current form. Dawson sees the USA falling first, in 2017, followed by the UK in 2019 and Canada in 2020 … continuing to the end of days in Mongolia (2038) and Argentina (2039). Some countries may hold out longer, Dawson predicts.
Dawson spells out the methodology of his analysis — the “factors driving the pace of newspaper extinction” — in second chart below and on his Trends in the Living Networks Website.
A report on Dawson’s analysis appears in today’s The Australian newspaper.
Dawson will discuss his findings in a talk on “The Future of Global Media” and “Breaking Through BRIC: Understanding These Influential Global Media Landscapes,” at the Ketchum Global Media Network in New York on Thursday.